March 1, 2011

Bayesian Model Averaging

Theoretical Developments and Practical Applicaitons
Bayesian model averaging (BMA) offers a systematic method for analyzing specification uncertainty and checking the robustness of one’s results to alternative model specifications, but it has not come into wide usage within the discipline. In this paper, we introduce important recent developments in BMA and show how they enable a different approach to using the technique in applied social science research.

2011. Political Analysis 18 (2): 245-270. With Brendan Nyhan.
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January 24, 2006

Enforcing the minimum drinking age

State, local and agency characteristics associated with compliance checks and Cops in Shops programs
This study used a nationally representative sample of communities to better understand state and local factors that shape local law enforcement agencies’ use of two distinct approaches to underage drinking enforcement. The strong link observed between tobacco and alcohol compliance checks may indicate a culture within some law enforcement agencies supporting strict enforcement of age-of-sale laws.

Enforcing the Minimum Drinking Age: State, Local, and Agency Characteristics Associated With Compliance Checks and Cops in Shops Programs. 2006. Addiction. 101 (2): 223-231. With Mark Wolfson and Kristie Long Foley.
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